Average total number of collisions
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Another way to look at the situation is this...
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You are throwing N balls randomly into M containers
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The first ball lands in some container. The remaining N-1 balls each have probability
1/M of landing in the same container; so the average number of collisions with the first ball will be (N-1)/M
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The second ball lands in some container. The reminaing N-2 balls each have probability 1/M of landing in the same container; so the average number of total with the second ball will be (N-2)/M
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Etc... So the average total number of collisions is
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And so the expected (average) number of collisions will be 1 when:
which for large M, implies
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